CFL Simulation: The group no person desires to see
TORONTO — Because the mud settles on one of many extra attention-grabbing weeks of the season, the CFL Simulation has in flip given us some attention-grabbing outcomes to have a look at.
There have been simply three video games performed in Week 15, however they’d a big influence on this week’s simulation outcomes.
The Toronto Argonauts have strolled into the 111th Gray Cup dialog, because of their spectacular win on the street over the BC Lions. The simulation’s chilly, digital coronary heart isn’t warming fairly but to the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, however their win over the Ottawa REDBLACKS has dimmed among the buzz that the East Division’s second-place group was carrying final week.
Whereas the Edmonton Elks didn’t play in Week 15, the simulation remains to be excessive on the group that’s gained 4 of its final 5 video games. Whereas the Elks nonetheless have a methods to go to make the playoffs, the simulation sees them as a giant downside for the remainder of the league, ought to they get there. The simulation has them as its second-most doubtless group to win the Gray Cup in November. The simulation’s No. 1 decide to win all of it this 12 months is a well-recognized identify: the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.
Our last desk is the 5 most probably eventualities for the 111th Gray Cup. In years previous, the top-five matchups accounted for 80-85 per cent of the potential Gray Cup pairings. This 12 months, as a result of widespread parity throughout the league, our top-five matchups account for less than 68.7 per cent of the potential pairings. To that finish, be aware that the top-four groups within the West Division are projected to be separated by simply two video games by the top of Week 21.
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Take a look at this week’s version of the CFL Simulation to see the place your group stands as we head into Week 16.
*C: Clinched a selected end result
*E: Eradicated from reaching a selected end result
ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | |
Group (projected 2024 document) | Projection |
Montreal (12-5-1) | C |
Ottawa (10-7-1) | 99.54% |
Toronto (10-8) | 97.56% |
BC (10-8) | 91.39% |
Winnipeg (9-9) | 84.87% |
Saskatchewan (8-9-1) | 61.66% |
Edmonton (8-10) | 60.09% |
Calgary (5-12-1) | 2.50% |
Hamilton (7-11) | 2.39% |
ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME | |
Group | Projection |
Montreal | 98.60% |
BC | 73.52% |
Ottawa | 64.49% |
Winnipeg | 64.06% |
Toronto | 36.74% |
Edmonton | 31.78% |
Saskatchewan | 30.11% |
Calgary | 0.53% |
Hamilton | 0.17% |
ODDS TO WIN EAST | |
Group | Projection |
Montreal | 85.19% |
Ottawa | 13.71% |
Toronto | 1.10% |
Hamilton | E |
ODDS TO WIN WEST | |
Group | Projection |
Winnipeg | 43.98% |
BC | 31.99% |
Edmonton | 14.07% |
Saskatchewan | 9.90% |
Calgary | 0.06% |
ODDS TO APPEAR IN 111TH GREY CUP | |
Group | Projection |
Montreal | 60.59% |
Winnipeg | 36.00% |
BC | 29.22% |
Toronto | 23.07% |
Edmonton | 22.91% |
Ottawa | 15.93% |
Saskatchewan | 11.84% |
Hamilton | 0.33% |
Calgary | 0.11% |
ODDS TO WIN 111TH GREY CUP | |
Group | Projection |
Winnipeg | 25.49% |
Edmonton | 18.01% |
Montreal | 17.98% |
BC | 17.93% |
Toronto | 8.91% |
Saskatchewan | 7.41% |
Ottawa | 4.12% |
Hamilton | 0.11% |
Calgary | 0.04% |
MOST LIKELY 111TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS | |
Group | Projection |
Winnipeg-Montreal | 21.66% |
BC-Montreal | 17.53% |
Edmonton-Montreal | 14.04% |
Winnipeg-Toronto | 8.13% |
Saskatchewan-Montreal | 7.29% |