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Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots: Predictions, picks and odds, Matchup, for NFL experts Week 11

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Los Angeles Rams at New England Patriots

The Los Angeles Rams will face off against the New England Patriots in a highly anticipated NFL Week 11 matchup on Sunday, November 17, 2024. Both teams have experienced ups and downs this season, but they come into this game with the motivation to strengthen their playoff chances. Fans and bettors alike will be watching this game closely, and the betting market offers plenty of options. Let’s dive into the game preview, odds, betting trends, key injuries, and the latest predictions.

Rams vs. Patriots: Game Overview

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
TV Channel: CBS
Streaming: FuboTV, Hulu + Live TV
Betting Line:

  • Spread: Rams -3
  • Moneyline: Rams -160, Patriots +140
  • Over/Under Total: 43.5 points

Team Previews

Los Angeles Rams (5-4)

The Los Angeles Rams have had a somewhat inconsistent season, but they’ve shown enough flashes of brilliance to remain in the hunt for a playoff spot in the NFC. Their offense, led by quarterback Matthew Stafford, has been potent, but their defense has been the key to their success. Aaron Donald continues to dominate the defensive line, and the Rams’ defense has been among the top in the league in terms of sacks and pressure on the quarterback.

Offensively, the Rams are averaging 25.3 points per game, ranking in the middle of the pack. Stafford has been playing with a solid receiving corps led by Cooper Kupp, Puka Nacua, and rookie sensation Tutu Atwell. The Rams have found success in their running game with Kyren Williams and Darrell Henderson, but they’ll need to be efficient against a stout Patriots defense.

New England Patriots (4-5)

The New England Patriots have struggled offensively this season, ranking near the bottom in several key categories. Mac Jones has been inconsistent at quarterback, and the Patriots’ offensive line has failed to give him enough protection. With a lackluster receiving corps and an inconsistent running game, the Patriots are relying on their defense to keep them competitive in games.

However, New England’s defense remains one of the league’s most formidable units, especially against the pass. Bill Belichick’s defense has often been able to limit opposing offenses, but the big question for the Patriots remains whether their offense can generate enough points to keep up with high-scoring teams like the Rams.

Rams vs. Patriots: Betting Breakdown

Spread Betting: Rams -3

The Rams come into this matchup as 3-point favorites, which makes sense considering their superior offense and more talented roster overall. However, the Patriots’ defense can be tricky, and they are known for keeping games close. Bill Belichick’s coaching ability, especially when it comes to game planning against high-powered offenses, should give the Patriots a chance to cover the spread.

The Rams have been consistent against lesser competition, but their struggles against elite defenses (such as the 49ers and Seahawks) show they are vulnerable. For the Patriots to cover this spread, they’ll need to disrupt Stafford’s rhythm and find a way to score enough points to stay within 3 points of the Rams.

Moneyline Betting: Rams -160, Patriots +140

The Rams are solid favorites at -160, reflecting their higher potential this season. Betting on the Rams to win outright would require a bet of $160 to win $100. On the other hand, if you’re feeling optimistic about the Patriots, they are +140 underdogs, meaning a $100 wager would return $140 in profit if New England pulls off the upset.

While the Rams are the more likely winner, the Patriots have the defensive chops to make this game close and even win, particularly if Stafford and the Rams offense struggle under pressure.

Over/Under Total: 43.5 Points

The total for the game has been set at 43.5 points, a relatively low number. With both teams featuring strong defenses, the under might be appealing for those who think the Patriots’ offense will struggle to put up enough points to push the total over. However, if the Rams offense clicks and can exploit the weaknesses in the Patriots’ secondary, it’s not out of the question that this game could end up going over foxsports.com.

The Rams’ offense has been solid this year, and while the Patriots have a strong defense, the ability of Stafford to connect with his wide receivers could lead to a few big plays that will help push the score higher. On the flip side, if Mac Jones continues his struggles and the Patriots’ offense fails to get anything going, this game could end up being low-scoring and go under the total.

Key Injuries

Los Angeles Rams:
  • Matthew Stafford (QB) – Stafford has dealt with some lingering injuries this season but is expected to start in this matchup.
  • Kyren Williams (RB) – Williams has been nursing a minor injury, but he is expected to play and should be a key factor in the Rams’ offense.
  • Aaron Donald (DT) – Donald is the backbone of the Rams’ defense and remains one of the most dominant defensive players in the league. He is expected to play and should be a major factor in this game.
New England Patriots:
  • Mac Jones (QB) – Jones has been dealing with a shoulder issue, but he is expected to start against the Rams. His performance will be a key factor in the Patriots’ chances of covering the spread.
  • Kendrick Bourne (WR) – Bourne is dealing with a knee injury, and his status is uncertain. If Bourne can’t go, the Patriots’ already limited receiving corps will be further weakened.
  • Matthew Judon (OLB) – Judon is one of the Patriots’ best pass rushers, and his absence would significantly weaken New England’s defensive front.

Team Trends and Betting Insights schedules

Los Angeles Rams

  • The Rams are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 5 games versus AFC opponents.
  • Rams have hit the Over in 6 of their last 8 games.
  • The Rams are 6-4 against the spread this season.
  • The Rams are 3-2 on the road this year.

New England Patriots

  • The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Patriots have hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 games.
  • New England has a solid defense but struggles to generate points on offense, averaging just 21.3 points per game this season.
  • The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Key Matchups to Watch

Matthew Stafford vs. Patriots Secondary

Matthew Stafford has had a solid season and is looking to continue his high-level play in this matchup. He’ll be tested by the Patriots’ secondary, which has been strong against the pass this year. J.C. Jackson and Kyle Dugger will look to contain Cooper Kupp, who has been a major threat for the Rams. If Stafford has time to throw, he can exploit the Patriots’ defense, but New England’s secondary will likely be the focal point of their defense.

Aaron Donald vs. Patriots Offensive Line

Aaron Donald is arguably the most dominant defensive player in the NFL and will be the primary disruptor for the Patriots’ offensive line. New England has struggled to keep Mac Jones clean in the pocket, and if Donald is able to generate pressure, it could be a long day for the rookie quarterback.

Rams’ Run Game vs. Patriots’ Front Seven

The Rams’ run game has been somewhat inconsistent this season, but Cam Akers and Kyren Williams can be effective when called upon. The Patriots’ defense has been tough against the run, but if the Rams can establish the ground game early, it will open up play-action for Stafford, giving him more opportunities to attack downfield.

Betting Prediction: Rams vs. Patriots schedules

The Rams are the slight favorites for a reason. Their offense is more potent, and they have more explosive players like Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp who can make big plays. However, the Patriots’ defense has been a strong unit and will certainly challenge the Rams’ offense.

In terms of betting, the Rams -2.5 seems like a good bet given their ability to score more points. However, the Under 45.5 might be a more favorable option, considering the Patriots’ tendency to play low-scoring games and their struggles to consistently move the ball on offense.

Final Prediction:

  • Rams 24, Patriots 17
  • Pick: Rams -2.5
  • Total: Under 45.5

The Rams’ offense should prove to be too much for the Patriots to contain, especially with Stafford at quarterback. The Patriots will likely struggle to keep pace with the Rams’ high-powered offense, and with a strong defensive performance from the Rams, they should win this game by a touchdown or more.

FAQ

What time does the Rams vs. Patriots game start?

The Rams vs. Patriots game is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, November 17, 2024.

Where can I watch the Rams vs. Patriots game?

You can watch the game live on CBS or stream it on platforms like FuboTV, Hulu Live, or NFL Game Pass.

Who is favored to win the Rams vs. Patriots game?

The Los Angeles Rams are favored by 2.5 points heading into the game.

What is the Over/Under for the Rams vs. Patriots game?

The Over/Under for the Rams vs. Patriots game is set at 45.5 points.

How have the Rams performed against AFC teams this season?

The Rams are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against AFC opponents.

Are there any significant injuries for the Rams?

Key injuries include Matthew Stafford (shoulder) and Cooper Kupp (hamstring), both of whom are crucial to the Rams’ offense.

What is the Patriots’ record against the spread this season?

The Patriots are 4-5 against the spread this season.

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