Joe Burrow going up towards Tua Tagovailoa is a higher matchup than maximum could have projected again in August. The Dolphins are one of the greater unexpected groups thru three weeks as rookie head trainer Mike McDaniels has knocked off Bill Belichick, John Harbaugh, and Sean McDermott. The Bengals are feeling the Super Bowl hangover once you have off to a 1-2 start. At the time of scripting this article, Tagovailoa is indexed as questionable because of again and ankle accidents after being constrained in exercise on Tuesday. The line is presently at Bengals -three. five or -four relying on your ee-e book.
Let`s examine my favored participant props.
Joe Burrow over 268.five passing yards (-114)
Line to be had on the time of publishing on FanDuel sportsbook.
This line is everywhere in the region relying on which ee-e book you keep. I even have visible it at excessive as 274. five at Caesars, however at 268. five I’m throughout it. Burrow has hit this in 2 of three video games this season and I truly just like the play for this matchup. The Dolphins ranked twenty-ninth in insurance in step with PFF and opposing QBs had been distinctly green as a result. Miami ranks twenty-sixth in opponents’ final touch percentage (68%). The key may be retaining the stress off of Burrow lengthy enough, however, fortunately, those receivers have the capacity to create YAC. Cincinnati is eighth withinside the league in YAC, averaging 133 yards in keeping with the sport after the capture. If you may get the 268. five yards, I`m on it for 1.5U. Anything over 270. five I would reduce to 1U.
Tee Higgins over four.five receptions (-148)
This is lots of juice, however, I sense correct approximately this line at any wide variety beneath five. five. Higgins will draw Nik Needham in insurance, and Needham ranks 81st out of 109 CBs in insurance in step with PFF. Higgins plays extensively higher at domestic throughout more than one metric: +18.8% better capture rate +2.25 receptions in keeping with sport, +three.26 yards in keeping with reception and +four.seventy-nine yards in keeping with a goal all in 2021. Outside of the hole sport, Higgins has had 10 and seven goals.
Best NFL 202 player prop for Dolphins vs Bengals
You may want to pivot to Higgins over 62.five for much less juice, however I sense greater assured in him getting his goals Thursday night time at the same time as Xavien Howard trails Ja`Marr Chase.Tyler Boyd receives the unfortunate venture of matching up with Kader Kohou, who’s graded out because the 14th-quality CB in league and spends 71% of the time withinside the slot. Higgins is simply beneath Chase in goal proportion and simplest has 2 much less for the season. I even have 1U on Boyd. The five.five is simply outdoor of my consolation quarter.
Dolphins vs Bengals Same Game Parlay (+426)
Joe Burrow 250+ passing yards
Tee Higgins 50+ receiving yards
Jaylen Waddle 50+ receiving yards
Joe Mixon TD
My SGP is a teased-down model of my performance and I’ve delivered in Jaylen Waddle at 50+ yards and Joe Mixon TD. Waddle hasn’t dipped beneath sixty-nine yards all season and is much more likely to attract Eli Apple in insurance than Tyreke Hill regardless of all of the media hype. The Dolphins have given up 2 TDs in three video games to opposing RB`s and are center of the percent in tackling (18th). Mixon has nine red-quarter rush tries and three red-quarter passing goals in three video games.
